Policy Question :
What actions, if any, should the government take concerning
driver-less car technology? To be quite clear, the concern is military, and civilian applications
of driver-less car technology.
Policy Maker Client:
In this case, the policy maker is the President of the
United States. He alone has the
authority, power, and moreover, the public visibility to push the public policy agenda at the highest level of the U.S.
government.
TO: POTUS
FROM: Richard Nere
SUBJECT: Autonomous Vehicle Technology
TO: POTUS
FROM: Richard Nere
SUBJECT: Autonomous Vehicle Technology
Background:
What actions, if any, should the government take concerning driver-less car technology? To be quite clear, the concern is military, and civilian applications of driver-less car technology. Indeed, driver-less vehicle technology is a safety innovation of the future. In fact, a study conducted by RAND corporation expatiates on the matter discussing the advantages of the technology to include reducing crashes, decrease energy consumption, and increased mobility. Generally speaking, the study titled, "Autonomous Vehicle Technology" presents the new technology in a favorable light.
If, however, autonomous vehicles are considered as a military technology, there are several benefits that are distinct from the civilian applications. For instance, the short article titled, "U.S. Navy Employment Options for Unmanned Surface Vehicles" discusses benefits that are, strictly speaking, beneficial for military. The advantages of autonomous vehicles includes the ability to interact at all levels of the sea, have a higher risk tolerance than manned systems, and finally have the potential for larger payloads or endurance. Quite certainly, other branches of the military would have other potential benefits of this new technology.
Challenges:
- At first, autonomous vehicle could indeed prove too expensive for implementation when first put on the market.
- To be honest, as a corollary of autonomous vehicle technology is slashing jobs in the public, and private sector.
- Trust is also a major concern. Figuratively speaking, this new technology will require a leap of faith.
- For certain, bureaucracy could hamper the progress of autonomous vehicle technology.
Policy Alternatives:
Status Quo:
The technology continues to be tested. However, the technology falls short of full implementation without leadership on the matter. Leadership, of course, could be either in the private or the public sector. Real incentives are necessary to hurdle these barriers to market.
Advantages :
Avoids the political ramifications in the case the technology doesn't pan out. Moreover, a neutral position protects elected officials from supporting the matter, as it may prove political dangerous to support a new technology that could potentially cost thousands of jobs.
Disadvantages:
In the case of military advantage this technology would put America above its peers. For certain, then, failure to support the new technology would mean losing the competitive edge.
Full Scale Implementation:
Political leadership provides incentives to implement the new technology. The goal, of course, is 100% participation in the private sphere, public sphere, and in the military sphere.
Advantages:
Early adoption has foreign policy implications. In the future, autonomous vehicle technology could be used to support foreign policy commitments. Autonomous vehicles could save the lives of ground troops, for this reason, working assiduously toward full scale implementation is vital on the military front.
Innovative companies developing this technology win. That is to say, this strategy would prove propitious for tech firms. Ubiquitous autonomous vehicles is indeed a harbinger of reduced crashes, decreased energy consumption, and increase mobility. Above all else, the American public would
Disadvantages:
In some cases, a new technology innovation is the prognosticator for unemployment in a given sector. This technology, of course, doesn't create jobs for Americans. At any rate, the general public needs to be sanguine about full scale implementation, and in the case, this innovation doesn't deliver as promised, then the credibility of any spokesperson is hurt.
Collaboration:
The government works closely with tech firms, and american universities to work towards producing this technology for mass consumption. This, of course, is a safe policy option, where collaboration is certainly a time for the testing of autonomous vehicle technology, and strategically planning for public use.
Advantages:
Quite clearly, this policy option is rather safe. In fact, the testing in academia, and the private sector would substantiate the argument for Americans to adopt the new technology if successful.
Disadvantages:
Cost is a concern. Moreover, there is the possibility the technology is a failure for wide spread implementation.
References:
Anderson, James M., Nidhi Kalra, Karlyn D. Stanley, Paul Sorensen, Constantine Samaras, and Oluwatobi A. Oluwatola. Autonomous Vehicle Technology: A Guide for Policymakers. N.p.: n.p., 2014. Web.
http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR400/RR443-1/RAND_RR443-1.pdf
Savitz, Scott, Irv Blickstein, Peter Buryk, Robert Button, Paul DeLuca, James A. Dryden, Jason Mastbaum, Jan Osburg, Philip Padilla, Amy Potter, Carter C. Price, Lloyd Thrall, Susan K. Woodward, Roland J. Yardley, and John Yurchak. U.S. Navy Employment Options for Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USVs). N.p.: n.p., 2013. Web.
http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR300/RR384/RAND_RR384.pdf
Advantages:
Early adoption has foreign policy implications. In the future, autonomous vehicle technology could be used to support foreign policy commitments. Autonomous vehicles could save the lives of ground troops, for this reason, working assiduously toward full scale implementation is vital on the military front.
Innovative companies developing this technology win. That is to say, this strategy would prove propitious for tech firms. Ubiquitous autonomous vehicles is indeed a harbinger of reduced crashes, decreased energy consumption, and increase mobility. Above all else, the American public would
Disadvantages:
In some cases, a new technology innovation is the prognosticator for unemployment in a given sector. This technology, of course, doesn't create jobs for Americans. At any rate, the general public needs to be sanguine about full scale implementation, and in the case, this innovation doesn't deliver as promised, then the credibility of any spokesperson is hurt.
Collaboration:
The government works closely with tech firms, and american universities to work towards producing this technology for mass consumption. This, of course, is a safe policy option, where collaboration is certainly a time for the testing of autonomous vehicle technology, and strategically planning for public use.
Advantages:
Quite clearly, this policy option is rather safe. In fact, the testing in academia, and the private sector would substantiate the argument for Americans to adopt the new technology if successful.
Disadvantages:
Cost is a concern. Moreover, there is the possibility the technology is a failure for wide spread implementation.
Policy Option
|
Efficiency
|
Effectiveness
|
Equity
|
Ease of political acceptablity
|
Full Scale
|
+
|
++++
|
+
|
+
|
Collaboration
|
+++
|
++
|
+
|
+++
|
Status Quo
|
++++
|
++++
|
+
|
++++
|
References:
Anderson, James M., Nidhi Kalra, Karlyn D. Stanley, Paul Sorensen, Constantine Samaras, and Oluwatobi A. Oluwatola. Autonomous Vehicle Technology: A Guide for Policymakers. N.p.: n.p., 2014. Web.
http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR400/RR443-1/RAND_RR443-1.pdf
Savitz, Scott, Irv Blickstein, Peter Buryk, Robert Button, Paul DeLuca, James A. Dryden, Jason Mastbaum, Jan Osburg, Philip Padilla, Amy Potter, Carter C. Price, Lloyd Thrall, Susan K. Woodward, Roland J. Yardley, and John Yurchak. U.S. Navy Employment Options for Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USVs). N.p.: n.p., 2013. Web.
http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR300/RR384/RAND_RR384.pdf
Great idea.. but I fear this will follow somewhat similar consequences as drone technology.
ReplyDeleteWhat do you think is the time period for this technology to be adopted on a wide-scale? Will it be widely used in 5, 10, 20, 50 years?
ReplyDeleteAlso, are you policy options mutually excluding? Have you considered a policy that would synthesize all of the measures proposed?
What I am not clear is that if the technology is ready for use in the field? There could be some weaknesses that needs to be improved before it can be released at wider scale.
ReplyDeleteWhat influence will the driver-less car make to the driving skills of people? Even the most stable machine has errors, so what can you do with the situations when they don't work?
ReplyDeleteCan you explain how to achieve the full scale implementation?
ReplyDeleteSince this technology is still an ongoing research, your options will not have immediate result, especially the second option. And I think to achieve 100% participation is to ambitious.
ReplyDeleteIn the third policy, will the government take the full charge of the technology development? How normal people get benefit from this technology?
ReplyDeleteVery interesting topic. Are current technologies strong enough for wartime applications (diverse environments/ not easy damaged?). What would happen if got in wrong hands? What do you mean by "100% participation in the private sphere, public sphere, and in the military sphere"?
ReplyDeleteI like how your memo has changed its angle to deal more directly with innovation policy. I am a little confused about what "Full Scale Implementation" actually means, and how that contrasts with your third option of "Collaboration". It appears to me that Full Scale Implementation is a (reckless?) implementation of the technology without adequate testing. I am not sure if I'm reading it right. More clarity would be great.
ReplyDeleteIt seems full scale does not have a good equity in the four aspects. What do you think?
ReplyDelete